Libertarian Jackass

"Life is short, but truth works far and lives long; let us speak truth." -- Schopenhauer

Saturday, September 17, 2005

TOO MANY REAL ESTATE AGENTS

Too many mortgage bankers, too many loan officers, too many investment bankers. This is another reminder of why a "bubble" is not about price appreciation, it's about the massive misallocation of real resources. Bill Gross:
Take a gander at the remarkable Chart II displayed below. It shows that real estate, not manufacturing, has been the economic impetus in recent years in terms of net growth. Once price momentum slows or ceases for home prices, job growth will slow or disappear in the sector as well. How many more mortgage brokers or real estate agents do we really need or can we legitimately support? At least one more than our total of portfolio managers and investment bankers you might say, and to that I’d say "touché," but it only reinforces my point! Once the cautionary momentum begins, job and wage growth will not support a continuing housing boom, leading to further caution and an economic slowdown at the minimum.
http://www.pimco.com/LeftNav/Late+Breaking+Commentary/IO/2005/IO+September+2005.htm
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